Publié le 1 mars 2005

Predicting workforce replacement requirements. A prospective sectoral approach.

Nathalie Aguettant , Christophe Guitton , Jacques Pillemont

  • Training and Employment n°61
  • mars 2005

BESOIN EN MAIN D'OEUVRE, BRANCHE PROFESSIONNELLE, PROSPECTIVE D'EMPLOI, INDUSTRIE DU BTP, INDUSTRIE EXTRACTIVE-ENERGIE, FRANCE

The Quarries and Building Materials sector is being faced like many others with the ageing of its workers and is having to solve recruitment problems. The question which has therefore arisen is how to deal with the workforce replacement requirements. To answer this question, a three-stage prospective survey has been launched in this sector. The aim is to analyse how activities and jobs as well as firms' human resource management practices have changed, and to use the overall picture thus obtained to draw up various possible scenarios predicting future patterns of staff recruitment and qualifications. Apart from predicting the large-scale recruitment measures required, this approach makes it possible to view the various possible modes of workforce replacement not only in terms of qualifications, but also in terms of internal mobility within the firms and the sector.

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